Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Sydney 2025
Prism, Awakener of Sol
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Bell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
21st • 7-4-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Rashad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brendan Champion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
26th • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Valentine Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 81:19
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Gauci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kael Sabben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Khoo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roy Lai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John McCreanor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Jonathon Peters (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Patrick Darge (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ceejay Gordon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 24:76
Round 6: Loss vs Josh Coyle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Milligan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brad Forrester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.