Kassai of the Golden Sand
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Faron Swingler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Win vs John McCreanor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
35th • 6-4-1
64%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clint Riley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Draw |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toby Wilson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnie Kuy (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maddy Carlier (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodii Dias (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Loney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Pettet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John McCreanor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Khoo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aabhii Taneja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs David Stubbs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Declan Carlsson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Quigley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jac Jac (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.