Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

25th 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brad Forrester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Fang, Dracai of Blades
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs bill huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
dropped 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Dutcher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Watson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 43:57
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
dropped 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Ta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Hansen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Katsu, the Wanderer
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexis Alexander (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.