Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Ryen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cameron Griffiin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Casey Wilson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs bill huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Ta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 1-6-0
29%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Salter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Greg Illingworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Ren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mark Webster (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Amos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.