Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 12-2-0
64%
Meta
+4.9
Perf
7.0
Surp
6.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
2nd • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Declan Bradley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jackson Bulat (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
5th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.4
Surp
5.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bill Loizos (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Johnson : ) (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Vickery (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott Dunstan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Bell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
5th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yifei Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
5th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Thomson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brendan Champion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
18th • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lachlan Maddaford (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taine Markley (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Bingemann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
23rd • 7-4-0
91%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Milligan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Toby Wilson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bill Loizos (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jalen Williams Max (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Khoo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs benji muehlebach (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Jones (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brendan Champion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Watson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Amos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Sharpe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emily Smyth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gus Drummond (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Hamish Dickson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vinh Luong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Levi Gott (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Sharpe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James MacDonald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashley Kalz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Rashad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Clifford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vincent Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naomi Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Casey Wilson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dev Gordon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bill Loizos (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Hamish Dickson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maddy Carlier (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs Leo Larkham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Micheal Maurici (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tony Nguyen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Scott Dunstan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taine Markley (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jackson Bulat (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs James MacDonald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Amos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jarod Tucker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Coyle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jarod Tucker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Declan Bradley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ekam Khaira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Webster (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tony Nguyen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Khoo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Royals (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dale O'Brien (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Lenihan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ashley Kalz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Ren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnie Kuy (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Royals (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gus Drummond (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xavier Nelson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Pocknall (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 88:12
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lachlan Saunders (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Owen Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodii Dias (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josh Loney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darren Taing (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodii Dias (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Clifford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.