Fang, Dracai of Blades at Calling: Sydney 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Jones (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Whang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matt Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
44th • 5-6-0
45%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valentine Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Darge (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jalen Williams Max (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angus Lillie (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vincent Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Owen Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaii Nestler (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Aabhii Taneja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Bingemann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fazeel R (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Beissel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.