Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Sydney 2025
Puffin, Hightail
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 6-5-0
45%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Levi Gott (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None ()
Round 10: Win vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brendan Champion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | 50% | Win | |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darren Taing (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brad Forrester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jiasu chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James MacDonald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Stubbs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cameron Griffiin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fazeel R (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Win vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tallin Davis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ekam Khaira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Lenihan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.