Kano, Dracai of Aether
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 8-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs jiasu chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dale O'Brien (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathon Peters (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs Declan Bradley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs James MacDonald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Jones (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mason Dutcher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eugene Beissel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Johnson : ) (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brett Curtain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodii Dias (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Pocknall (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Owen Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Loss vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Johnson : ) (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.