Dash I/O at Calling: Sydney 2025
Dash I/O
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Sharpe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Liam Herzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Pettet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Lenihan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Salter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cameron Griffiin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Pettet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Angus Lillie (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs jiasu chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Ren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.