Calling: Sydney 2025 - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Louis Shum

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Sharpe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.15
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.77
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.93
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Thomas Caserta

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Liam Herzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.61
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

CYK Lionel

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samuel Pettet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.72
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.44
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Nicholas Tattersall

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Lenihan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.21
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Taufik Indrakesuma

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Salter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.58
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Charlie Thompson

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cameron Griffiin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Pettet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jackie Rousseau

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Angus Lillie (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs jiasu chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.72
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Remi Grasset

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Ren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.