Calling: Sydney 2025 - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Damian Moss

30th • 7-4-0

55%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jalen Williams Max (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dev Gordon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lachlan Saunders (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Ta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.16
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.17
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.24
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.60
R6	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.59
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.41

Andy Pham

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Greg Illingworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Khoo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.19
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.59
R7	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

David Stubbs

dropped • 0-2-1

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Josh Loney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.