Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Sydney 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 8-3-0
45%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
17th • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Quigley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lachlan Saunders (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John McCreanor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
36th • 6-3-2
55%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grace Luckman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Marr (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Aabhii Taneja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
37th • 6-3-2
73%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Hansen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ceejay Gordon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonas Ryen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
34th • 6-4-1
73%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ekam Khaira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jac Jac (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Amos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Bell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
33rd • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Amos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Lenihan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 11: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-2
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Jones (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Clifford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Eugene Beissel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Draw |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Salter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vincent Lam (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kael Sabben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Bingemann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Remi Grasset (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taine Markley (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roy Lai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Royals (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brad Forrester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Ta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Eid (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Cameron Griffiin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hamish Dickson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tallin Davis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathon Peters (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Hensworth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-3
71%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Matthew Horne (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs jiasu chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Andrew Ren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angus Lillie (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexis Alexander (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Stubbs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 85:15
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Naomi Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jackson Bulat (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Bingemann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Draw |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fazeel R (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Micheal Maurici (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Clifford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Lachlan Saunders (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Emily Smyth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leo Larkham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kael Sabben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jay Haskett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brett Curtain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gus Drummond (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Vickery (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Brodii Dias (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaii Nestler (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs bill huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathon Peters (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brad Forrester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Declan Bradley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tony Pazanin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maddy Carlier (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mason Dutcher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Round 5: Loss vs Ekam Khaira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Lam (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Gubbins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Lenihan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Greg Illingworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-1
60%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jacob Eid (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs William Hansen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Webster (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Gubbins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Whang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Ta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James MacDonald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Win vs Declan Carlsson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tony Nguyen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Tang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jarod Tucker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hamish Dickson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.