Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexis Alexander (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.