Jarl Vetreiði
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brett Curtain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James MacDonald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jalen Williams Max (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roy Lai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs jiasu chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Naomi Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Whang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tallin Davis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Josh Coyle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffery Broad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Pocknall (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Rashad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lachlan Maddaford (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Loss vs Naomi Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tony Pazanin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Scott Dunstan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brett Curtain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.