Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Bingemann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Ashley Kalz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Rashad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Eid (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jac Jac (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Naomi Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jac Jac (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Micheal Maurici (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Hensworth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Coyle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Loss vs Jay Haskett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.