Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at Calling: Sydney 2025

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

James Drummond

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Bingemann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ashley Kalz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Rashad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Eid (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.88
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Thomas Mifsud

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 19:81

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jac Jac (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Naomi Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.29
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bill Loizos

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.61
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Mason Dutcher

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jac Jac (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Micheal Maurici (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Hensworth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.66
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alex Jamieson

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josh Coyle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Sean Milligan

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 19:81

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jay Haskett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.