Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
56 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
57th • 8-3-2
38%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs René Schep (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
Round 4: Win vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 7: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Round 11: Win vs Jakob Immer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Draw |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Draw |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
58th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Rodger (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edward Harris (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Ulf Neubauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
Round 6: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
59th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Anderson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 6: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
69th • 7-6-0
46%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Scherer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Markus Braumann (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Gadalla (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Joel Dixon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isabella Paulke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Weber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sönke Heins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Timo Juraschek (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darian Papke (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Walter Heidtmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Tuček (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gedeon Henke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mario Trosien (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Can Gani Cevik (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Janine Walter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steffen Gursinsky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lars Erichsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthias Gigler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vincent Krenzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Ulf Neubauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ronan Campbell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
95:5
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nico Soni (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs George Rodger (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mauriz Schwenger (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carl Boyle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Pelka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robert Giebel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Indigo Bosworth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yannick Pfeiffer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lasse Saxer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Köber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tobias Weissenborn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Karl Roche (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Karl Naylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Madison Hom (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrik Weber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Lipke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gary Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hendrik Maushake ()
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Reitbauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Krause (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Christensen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bogdan Pitrop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Krause (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Carl Boyle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Krzysztof Figas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marius Pfaff (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Rene Lorentsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Surmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler-Noel Kopmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Gillich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Jakub Koenner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Laurin Kuschel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Prull (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Löffler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Nguyen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laurin Kuschel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Malander (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aleksejs Titovs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Anderson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Sieli (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Casper Bager (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
29%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laurin Kuschel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Erik Schroedter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leon Gentzsch (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benedikt Scharf (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Draw |
dropped • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Thilo Focke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Draw |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristian Čurla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Kristian Scheibe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mauriz Schwenger (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Braumann (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tino Mille (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Haroldas Stravinskas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mauriz Schwenger (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Moore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Krause (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominic Passow (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leon Gentzsch (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Smyth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Giebel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antony Butorin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benedict Hartfiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Simon Otterburg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niclas Grießhaber (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Antony Butorin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finn Macdonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Christensen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Nguyen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leonardo Bednik (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.