Arakni, Huntsman
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Stettin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs João Zeni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Loss vs Timo Juraschek (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Schitenhoff (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Jentzsch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs George Matzaris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Reitbauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Räthe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Buntrock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.