Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luca Scherner (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joachim Hendriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mateusz Biernat (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nils Jaeger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Marcus Löffler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lasse Saxer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Casper Bager (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johann Schwarze (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Valon Maxhuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Mike Pfeiffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Casper Bager (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Draw |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hennrik Wittke (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darian Papke (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Falko Holzenhauer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aleksejs Titovs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jannik Bücher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dennis Neumaier (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86
Round 3: Win vs Brennen Davis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91
Round 2: Loss vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Schreiber (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Finn Macdonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.