Fang, Dracai of Blades at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-3-0
43%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hennrik Wittke (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Karl Naylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Stettin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
43% (6/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Indigo Bosworth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Win vs Robert Mueller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Lermer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Jentzsch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marc Germond (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mauriz Schwenger (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lukas Thurow (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roger Braun (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Romane Dubost (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-7-0
25%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isabella Paulke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Müllner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Janine Walter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Gums (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs François Lefèvre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thilo Focke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Rob Catton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jannik Bücher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benedict Hartfiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Round 5: Win vs Loy Driver (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcel Leichtle (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Scherer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mario Trosien (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs David Surmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Weber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Wünsche (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tino Mille (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steffen Gursinsky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Fries (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mike Pfeiffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rene Lorentsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Otterburg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.