Kassai of the Golden Sand
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ove Hasselhorst (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Teunnissen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Win vs Markus Braumann (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angus Sünner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 8: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan Pitrop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
62%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Olivier Imbrechts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Lermer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Draw |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Lukaschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bino Nolting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ramon Bernigau (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Jentzsch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Enes Findik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Krenzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Schreiber (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Timo Juraschek (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Schitenhoff (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erik Schroedter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Dennis Werk (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Draw |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Janine Walter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Liam Holden (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Round 6: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Gigler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Falko Holzenhauer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Laurin Kuschel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joachim Hendriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary Anderson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Neumaier (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Felix Winkelmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Davide Quaglio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Walter Heidtmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Olivier Imbrechts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Valon Maxhuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Neumaier (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Ulf Neubauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Lukas Thurow (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Timo Jakobs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Casper Bager (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Krzysztof Figas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Sieli (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.