Pleiades, Superstar at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Pleiades, Superstar
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 7-5-0
17%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Karl Roche (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Angus Sünner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Stettin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
Round 11: Win vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
12%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rene Lorentsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simone Busatto (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Malander (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Surmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Fries (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hennrik Wittke (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Finn Macdonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Surmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanguy Meignier (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Steinkusch (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.