Calling: Hamburg 2025 - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

92 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kinga Piper Balázs

3rd • 12-3-0

73%

Meta

+4.1

Perf

7.2

Surp

5.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gedeon Henke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bogdan Pitrop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs George Rodger (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

73% (11/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

7.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.16
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.65
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R10	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.56
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Lucas Nijssen

5th • 11-3-0

71%

Meta

+3.8

Perf

7.2

Surp

5.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Peter Smyth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nils Büchner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (10/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

7.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.77
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.90
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.64
R12	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.76
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Walter Heidtmann

22nd • 9-4-0

69%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nils Büchner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.10
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.12
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.53
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.30
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.44
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.50
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Francesco Giorgio

23rd • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simon Otterburg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.15
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.37
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.63
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Jimmy Nguyen

40th • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

6.5

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robert Mueller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Enes Findik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.10
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.39
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.56
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.73
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.56
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrei Dragne

47th • 8-5-0

85%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benedikt Scharf (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nikolai Goldmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Karl Naylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.21
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.22
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.30
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.68
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.44
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Enes Findik

51st • 8-5-0

54%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

6.7

Surp

4.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Edward Harris (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Felix Winkelmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

54% (7/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.25
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.60
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.63
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.84
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.56
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.23
R12	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hugo Platret

52nd • 8-5-0

62%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jan Tillmanns (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lasse Schier Christiansen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Moore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

62% (8/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.18
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.25
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.55
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.78
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.50
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.59
R13	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Linus Albat

60th • 8-5-0

69%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

6.4

Surp

3.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marc Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.09
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.10
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.58
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Giorgos Dailianis

73rd • 7-6-0

85%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kai Demel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.17
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.15
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.57
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.53
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R13	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Marc Germond

dropped • 7-4-0

91%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Gums (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Arne Walter (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fabian Schunn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Anthony Achin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.07
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.38
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.52
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.74
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthias Hagel

dropped • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Niclas Grießhaber (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Draw	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.56
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Alexander Gadalla

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Steinkusch (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Simone Busatto (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.30
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.56
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Bart de Jong

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.19
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.67
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Benedikt Sylvester

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Antony Butorin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tanguy Meignier (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Aleksejs Titovs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs George Rodger (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christian Hauck

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mantas Navickas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gedeon Henke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.07
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Cordelia Regner

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.17
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.24
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.53
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Daniel Szots

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nico Soni (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Daniele Frattarelli

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Reincke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jan-Philipp Dreikorn (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Madison Hom (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Lerens (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.19
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.71
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Francisc Loghin

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Manuel Köber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.87
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

Jan Hendrik Wewering

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ronan Campbell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Haroldas Stravinskas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.71
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lucas Ward

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kristian Scheibe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Szots (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.40
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.95
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marc Teunnissen

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Steffen Gursinsky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.40
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Mihai Zorila

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Biernat (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lasse Schier Christiansen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mario Trosien (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Nils Büchner

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Indigo Bosworth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Walter Heidtmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Erik Klinger (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adam Tuček (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.16
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Quest Pittman

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Lipke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Türke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Rafał Liwerski

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marc Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.79
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.76
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Roman Pinegin

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcel Leichtle (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Wünsche (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matteo Lista (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.19
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.85
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Tobias Weissenborn

dropped • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Bach (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matti Salmi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.31
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.48
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.19
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Christian Meinzer

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Karl Roche (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matthias Weirich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.31
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Eleonora Turowski

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs John Christensen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ove Hasselhorst (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.00
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Frank Pilchowski

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Gadalla (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peter Smyth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matti Salmi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Jonas Schütze

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fabian Klucke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lukas Thurow (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arne Walter (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jan Vincent Steinkusch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.45
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Krzysztof Figas

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stuart Turner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Simone Busatto (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Linh Tran

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Jentzsch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Kristensen

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brendan McManus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bogdan Pitrop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Walter Heidtmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Gillich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.29
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.95
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Simon Daelemans

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mateusz Biernat (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Timo Juraschek (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.24
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.56
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas Steinle

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mattis Kollek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marc Germond (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.46
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.40
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Christian Jelle

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fabian Groß (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Simon Otterburg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.26
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

David Surmann

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tino Mille (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marc-Andre Richter (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.70

Finn Macdonald

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Lermer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Max Löhe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marc-Andre Richter (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Robert Giebel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.56
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Kai Martin

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Bernhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Krzysztof Figas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Krause (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.19
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.13

Paul Beese

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonas Stahl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mattis Kollek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Merz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Marc Bluhm (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.02
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Sergio Bravo Aranda

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs João Zeni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Julia Angermeier

dropped • 2-6-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs René Schep (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tanguy Meignier (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jan-Philipp Dreikorn (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Niklas Wunsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alexander Lukaschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matti Salmi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jannik Bücher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Andrei Sebastian Suciu

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nils Jaeger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Romane Dubost (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Manuel Köber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.41
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.65
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Bino Nolting

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Weber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.83
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Donovan van Beek

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Surmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lars Erichsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Simon Otterburg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.08
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Madison Hom

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Krenzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thorge von Bostel (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Moore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.19
R2	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.90
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Matthias Weirich

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Lerens (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Weber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carl Boyle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Felix Winkelmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.17
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Niklas Bengtsson

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Tat Chuong Hua

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Moore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fritz Kern (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.64
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.55
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Escoffier

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Viet Thuy Nguyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Xavier laperrouze (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.18
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wiktor Woźniak

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs András Kovács (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mantas Navickas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.20
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.75
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Alessio Bouko

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Angus Sünner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.83
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

David Reitbauer

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Dominik Däther

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Felix Winkelmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.78
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.17
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Faustin Falissard

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casper Bager (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.28
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.55
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Bernd Nielsen

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thilo Focke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Frederic Diebold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lukas Thurow (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Bach (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Indigo Bosworth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Erik Schroedter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Christian Bach

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Weissenborn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Akers (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Bocahut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Enki Dupaquier

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gillich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Schreiber (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.05
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Frederic Diebold

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gedeon Henke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Frank Buechy-Christoffel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hennrik Wittke (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Fritz Kern

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Björn Kaminski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marc Paulsen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christian Bach (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Patrick Wünsche

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jan Vincent Steinkusch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.23
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.48
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Stefan Bernhardt

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christoph Höhne (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mattis Kollek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Stefano Berian

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tore Lütjens

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marc Wollenweber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Erika Forslöf

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kai Demel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marc Wollenweber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Isabella Paulke

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marc Bluhm (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Laura Wichert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nastassja Baum (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.92
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Nicholas Merz

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ronan Campbell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Laura Wichert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Valon Maxhuni

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Romane Dubost (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Darian Papke (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.86
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Kevin Krause

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Olivier Imbrechts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marcus Löffler

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Moore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonas Stahl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Staubesandt (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.58
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Paul Döhrer

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Demel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Lipke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Krzysztof Nowek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.59
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Loy Driver

dropped • 0-6-0

83%

Meta

-3.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Davide Quaglio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Stahl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Toni Schwarze

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.62
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Alexander Schauer

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.13
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.50
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

András Kovács

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Frank Buechy-Christoffel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.83
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Benedict Hartfiel

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Krenzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Davide Quaglio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vollmers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sönke Heins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Christian Apel

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mira Kubiczak (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Biernat (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luca Scherner (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.71
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Grzegorz Kowalski

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Nguyen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Bernhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Igor Wesołowski

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Steffen Gursinsky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Mikołaj Fabrowski

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Lukaschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Enes Findik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.70
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Olivier Imbrechts

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Krause (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.52
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Raphael Notz

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.78
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.70
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Rasmus Harris

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luke Kuhlmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ove Hasselhorst (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.87
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Marcin Chorzepa

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.55
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Ramon Staudt

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.92
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Steffen Bauer

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs George Matzaris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Daniel Scherer

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Jordan Akers

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Smyth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Bach (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yannick Neumann

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simon Klein ()

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.