Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-4-0
67%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
6.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davide Quaglio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Lista (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Traian Costea (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (10/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
19th • 10-3-0
85%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.8
Surp
5.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Tuček (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabian Klucke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Szots (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 12: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
29th • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakob Immer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob Catton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Szots (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Lerens (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
38th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Löhe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simon Otterburg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nico Soni (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
61st • 8-5-0
77%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mantas Navickas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andre Weggebakker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Erik Klinger (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christian Hauck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
72nd • 7-5-1
85%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Dixon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nils Jaeger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Ulf Neubauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Rickard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Stettin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Walter Heidtmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 10: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Traian Costea (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Draw |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tjorven Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lasse Saxer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs George Rodger (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christoph Höhne (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tore Lütjens (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Holden (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephan Schwarz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matteo Lista (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakob Immer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Anger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Giebel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier laperrouze (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Loy Driver (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fabian Klucke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lars Maschika (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steffen Gursinsky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Luca Capoccioni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nastassja Baum (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nils Büchner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brendan McManus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antony Butorin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Klenke (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ronan Campbell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Erik Klinger (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Loy Driver (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Löhe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan Pitrop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clayton Gowen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Dixon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Giebel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tjorven Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andre Weggebakker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Malander (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Frank Buechy-Christoffel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mattis Kollek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rasmus Harris (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonas Stahl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Weggebakker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lasse Saxer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timo Juraschek (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashelin Gadal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luca Capoccioni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Heidorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Köber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.