Kano, Dracai of Aether
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonardo Bednik (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Schitenhoff (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Round 5: Loss vs Walter Heidtmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
64th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Weber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None ()
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | 50% | Win | |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
65th • 8-5-0
85%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tino Mille (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Round 2: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
Round 7: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Gigler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Ulf Neubauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kristian Čurla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yannick Pfeiffer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Krzysztof Figas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ashelin Gadal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Moore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ville Schalin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erik Klinger (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laurenz Adolph (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andreas Türke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Müllner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Harris (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mehran Khaghani (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bogdan Pitrop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Felix Winkelmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tobias Weissenborn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Casper Bager (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None ()
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Merz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Isabella Paulke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.