Puffin, Hightail
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 10-3-0
23%
Meta
+4.6
Perf
6.7
Surp
6.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs András Kovács (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Florian Anger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Traian Costea (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Enes Findik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-2-1
25%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Round 7: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Merz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ove Hasselhorst (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Roger Braun (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stephan Schwarz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Wünsche (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Apel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simone Busatto (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Markus Braumann (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Madison Hom (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Löffler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Loy Driver (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Klenke (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Alex Angelov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.