Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Valda, Seismic Impact
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Krzysztof Figas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Björn Kaminski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 7: Loss vs Nils Büchner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Kuhlmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Viet Thuy Nguyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rasmus Harris (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Anger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81
Round 6: Loss vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Nguyen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 17:83
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Round 6: Win vs Mike Pfeiffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.