Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Valda, Seismic Impact
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Krzysztof Figas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Björn Kaminski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nils Büchner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Kuhlmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Viet Thuy Nguyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rasmus Harris (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Anger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Nguyen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Round 6: Win vs Mike Pfeiffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.