Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Anger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marius Pfaff (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefan Bernhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joachim Hendriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
0%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Christensen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Krenzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Finn Macdonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-1
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Angelov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Stahl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Krzysztof Nowek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Martin Müllner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Draw |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mehran Khaghani (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Lermer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nico Soni (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Mike Pfeiffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Heidorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Round 4: Win vs Fabian Groß (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Pelka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.