Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 10-3-0
38%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kristian Scheibe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Lohwasser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Pelka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Gadalla (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 90:10
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luca Capoccioni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
90:10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 90:10
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 90% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
5:95
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Philippos Koulousakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
Round 8: Win vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-3
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mantas Navickas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Patrik Weber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Andre Weggebakker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Draw |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Wünsche (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc-Andre Richter (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Frederic Diebold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.