Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 10-3-0
38%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.4
Surp
6.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristian Scheibe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Lohwasser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Christian Pelka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Gadalla (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luca Capoccioni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
5:95
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Philippos Koulousakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
Round 8: Win vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-3
38%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mantas Navickas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Patrik Weber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Andre Weggebakker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Draw |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Wünsche (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc-Andre Richter (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Frederic Diebold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.