Vynnset, Iron Maiden
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 8-5-0
31%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendan McManus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nico Soni (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 22:78
Round 11: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rasmus Harris (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Gillich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs João Zeni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Klenke (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Köber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan Vincent Steinkusch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 22:78
Round 7: Loss vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Moore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Lukaschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Kristoffersson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leon Gentzsch (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Martin Müllner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arne Walter (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luca Capoccioni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Apel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Staubesandt (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 86:14
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Lohwasser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angus Sünner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Mueller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Marc-Andre Richter (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Nguyen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lars Erichsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.