FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Hamburg 2025

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

axilleas siskopoulos
49th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.6
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Dorinthea Ironsong
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendan McManus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nico Soni (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
10:90
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 10:90
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Friedemann Schorpp
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rasmus Harris (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
!!
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Gillich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Stefan Dyjak
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Simon Wagner
dropped • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs João Zeni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Klenke (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dominic Blasius
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Köber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea Ironsong
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Gary Anderson
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Jarl Vetreiði
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 27:73
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Antoan Yordanov
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan Vincent Steinkusch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 10:90
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Marcus Räthe
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Moore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Lukaschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Huntsman
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Marc Paulsen
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Kristoffersson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Katsu, the Wanderer
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leon Gentzsch (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Martin Müllner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Roger Braun
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arne Walter (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luca Capoccioni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yannick Günthart (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61
Mateusz Biernat
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Apel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Staubesandt (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Robert Wernecke
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Lohwasser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angus Sünner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Mueller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Vincent Schreiber
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 22:78
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
gabriel głowicki
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Pleiades, Superstar
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc-Andre Richter (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Nguyen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Clayton Gowen
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lars Erichsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.