Prism, Awakener of Sol
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
44th • 9-3-1
69%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Calf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Löffler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aleksejs Titovs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthias Weirich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andreas Türke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Traian Costea (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Rok Havlas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
85:15
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs George Rodger (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Draw |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
56th • 8-5-0
77%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Björn Kaminski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
71st • 7-6-0
85%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (7.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Räthe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Prull (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Kristoffersson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tino Mille (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matteo Lista (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benedikt Scharf (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Reitbauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frederic Diebold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Lars Erichsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rob Catton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leon Gentzsch (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Gums (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christian Pelka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Bocahut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-7-0
62%
Meta
-3.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timo Juraschek (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
Round 4: Loss vs Ashelin Gadal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs Jannik Bücher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan Pitrop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andre Weggebakker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Staubesandt (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Apel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bocahut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angus Sünner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marc Paulsen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Weissenborn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tore Lütjens (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabian Klucke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Harris (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.