Dorinthea Ironsong
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bino Nolting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
Round 11: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
55th • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Schwermer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
66th • 7-6-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Calf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Draw |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Traian Costea (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabian Klucke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kai Demel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sönke Heins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Ashelin Gadal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Fries (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Win vs Can Gani Cevik (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Klenke (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Laura Nielsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isabella Paulke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Johann Schwarze (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enes Findik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benedikt Scharf (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs András Kovács (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Reitbauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Vincent Steinkusch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.