Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Dorinthea Ironsong
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bino Nolting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
Round 11: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
55th • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Schwermer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
66th • 7-6-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Calf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Draw |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Traian Costea (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabian Klucke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kai Demel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sönke Heins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Ashelin Gadal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Fries (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Can Gani Cevik (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Klenke (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Laura Nielsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isabella Paulke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Johann Schwarze (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enes Findik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roberto Infante (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benedikt Scharf (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs András Kovács (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Reitbauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Vincent Steinkusch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.