Arakni, Marionette
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Moore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Quest Pittman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Marc Germond (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-1-2
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christoph Höhne (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tjorven Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Draw |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Draw |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mehran Khaghani (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laurin Kuschel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Türke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Stettin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mattis Kollek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Henke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Hauck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Steinkusch (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Krzysztof Figas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Melvin Valderrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Sieli (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Erik Schroedter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 8: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yannick Pfeiffer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Werk (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nico Soni (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-1
86%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler-Noel Kopmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Romane Dubost (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Müllner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Draw |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Anger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philippos Koulousakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs George Rodger (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Lukaschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrik Weber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davide Quaglio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Büchner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Can Gani Cevik (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Braun (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Janine Walter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Bystřický (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roger Braun (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Leonardo Bednik (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Tillmanns (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Müllner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Pelka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan Vincent Steinkusch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthias Weirich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timo Juraschek (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Janine Walter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Heidorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Pelka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Schroedter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.