Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 20:80
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mario Trosien (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs Richard Carr (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-1
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Davide Quaglio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Dixon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Lipke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Maximilian Malander (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fritz Kern (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 20:80
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Wollenweber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 92:8
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Krzysztof Nowek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Surmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kai Demel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Win vs Nils Jaeger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mauriz Schwenger (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-6-0
33%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timo Jakobs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marc Bluhm (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.