Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Katsu, the Wanderer
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs François Lefèvre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Queck (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mauriz Schwenger (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gedeon Henke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Szots (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Olivier Imbrechts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brendan McManus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-7-0
71%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thorge von Bostel (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leon Gentzsch (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Lipke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mattis Kollek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Krzysztof Nowek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Neumaier (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Wunsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Bluhm (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.