Katsu, the Wanderer
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs François Lefèvre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Lukas Proske (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Queck (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mauriz Schwenger (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Win vs Gedeon Henke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Szots (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Olivier Imbrechts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brendan McManus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-7-0
43%
Meta
-3.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thorge von Bostel (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leon Gentzsch (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Lipke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mattis Kollek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Krzysztof Nowek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Neumaier (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Wunsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Bluhm (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Novak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.