Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Hamburg 2025
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Round 12: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Valon Maxhuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lasse Schier Christiansen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Bystřický (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.