Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Hamburg 2025

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eugene C

43rd • 9-4-0

54%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Cordelia Regner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

75:25

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

54% (7/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.20
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.29
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.66
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.24
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.50
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R11	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.51
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Darian Papke

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Valon Maxhuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.14
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.83
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Florian Grabenstein

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lasse Schier Christiansen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Bystřický (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 21:79

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.62
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Dawid Mrówczyński

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.