Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Kuhlmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 10:90
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Gums (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.