Aurora, Shooting Star at Battle Hardened: Eindhoven
Aurora, Shooting Star
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sander Neeft (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
14th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs René Rosenberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Danny van Zon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Staubesandt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
19th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Doroschewski Christoph (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Wiercx (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
22nd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Godon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Platret (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Steinheuer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
23rd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Waij (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Thoen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
24th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Waij (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Wiercx (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
26th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Denis Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tijs de Kort (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Win vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
28th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danny van Zon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordi De Jonghe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
31st • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tijs de Kort (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
34th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Plaschnick (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
59th • 3-4-1
75%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bram Hast (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Denis Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Antoine Trannoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eugenio Assenzi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Weirich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jun Lin Xie (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Plaschnick (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Loss vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Denis Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antoine Trannoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix Buchs (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robin Waij (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Leus (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexandre Godon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Steinheuer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Amber Varwijk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Klee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Staubesandt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Doroschewski Christoph (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Amber Varwijk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Danny Otto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Klenke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Rodgers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bram bertens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Amber Varwijk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Plaschnick (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.