FaB-Results

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Battle Hardened: Eindhoven

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robbert Valkeneers
36th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 70:30
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leo Dancette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Steinheuer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kerwin Holtslag (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kostadin Vodenicharov (Unknown)
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Alexandre Godon
53rd • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Waij (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jun Lin Xie (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Depprich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.