Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Battle Hardened: Eindhoven
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephan Waider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hugo Platret (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arnold Baars (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul Beese (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
60th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Wiercx (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xandor Tollenaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthias Weirich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
62nd • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Depprich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Godon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danny Otto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Danny van Zon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.