Battle Hardened: Eindhoven - Zen, Tamer of Purpose (CC) - FaB-Results

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.9

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Danny Otto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 59:41

Aurora, Shooting Star

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

Aurora, Shooting Star

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51

Dash I/O

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 59:41

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.22
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.17
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.35
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R7	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.37
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.68
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Florian Vanbrakel

9th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.3

Diff

Uzuri, Switchblade

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bram bertens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 59:41

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Frijters (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

Dash I/O

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.69
R6	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.32
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.58
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Francesco Fiumanò

56th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Petry (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 59:41

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bram Hast (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eugenio Assenzi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tijs de Kort (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

Nuu, Alluring Desire

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Mishima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.32
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.83
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Robson Dechamps

dropped • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

Nuu, Alluring Desire

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arnold Baars (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tom Burggraaff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56

Nuu, Alluring Desire

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.84
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.99
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Leonardo Bednik

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

Dash I/O

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Nuu, Alluring Desire

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Depprich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.54
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Aurora, Shooting Star

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Burggraaff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Thomas van den Berg

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30

Nuu, Alluring Desire

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Su (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Danny van Zon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56

Aurora, Shooting Star

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.