Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Eindhoven
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
54th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 70:30
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominic Rodgers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Antoine Trannoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.