
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
54th • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.