Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordi De Jonghe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oliver M (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Denis Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
38th 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 70:30
Dash I/O
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
48th 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Schindler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michiel Vonck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Leus (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs René Rosenberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver M (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Wiercx (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
Dash I/O
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Raphaël Snaet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.