Nuu, Alluring Desire
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hugo Platret (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 8: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
29th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Staubesandt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Bednik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raymond Su (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Raphaël Snaet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
42nd • 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jun Lin Xie (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raphaël Snaet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Round 4: Loss vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Round 3: Win vs Rob Catton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wessel Groot (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tijs de Kort (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 80:20
Round 3: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Beese (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Denis Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 82:18
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs Leo Dancette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stephan Waider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-2
67%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bram bertens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Alexander Leus (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Wiercx (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tijs de Kort (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Beese (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.