Battle Hardened: Eindhoven - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Noah Dreckmann

17th • 6-2-0

38%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs René Rosenberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.18
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.12
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.44
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Julien Desuter

44th • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

5:95

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugenio Assenzi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Fabian Groß (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

5:95

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	5%	Loss	✗	0.03	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.10
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	5%	Loss	✗	0.03	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.24

Wim Raes

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98

5:95

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	5%	Loss	✗	0.03	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	5%	Loss	✗	0.03	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.