Prism, Awakener of Sol
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kerwin Holtslag (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
27th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Huepper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Frijters (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Staubesandt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Markus Tusche (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
33rd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Burggraaff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michiel Vonck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Doroschewski Christoph (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
50th • 3-4-1
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sander Neeft (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kin Yen Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Denis Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs René Van Hoorn (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kerwin Holtslag (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Klenke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Beese (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leo Dancette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Elmar Höfinghoff (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danny Otto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.