Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Eindhoven
Dash I/O
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Xandor Tollenaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Markus Tusche (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tom Burggraaff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Win vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
20th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonardo Bednik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
30th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
49th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Depprich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Mishima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Staubesandt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elista Cyrek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.