Battle Hardened: Eindhoven - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michiel Hasperhoven

3rd • 7-3-0

80%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Felix Buchs (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.82	0.24
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.23
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.24
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.39
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Danny van Zon

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Pizzonero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dennis Werk (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.50
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Rene Gropp

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antoine Trannoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Klee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.45
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Danny Otto

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Werk (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.46
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.48
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Andres Sandoval Mendez

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.