Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-2-0
80%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bart de Jong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Braun (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordi De Jonghe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Mishima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kostadin Vodenicharov (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kerwin Holtslag (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob Catton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
10th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Kuric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Su (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raphaël Snaet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
32nd • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabian Groß (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kerwin Holtslag (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wim Raes (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elista Cyrek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
37th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elista Cyrek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jun Lin Xie (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arnold Baars (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
40th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordi De Jonghe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Markus Tusche (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michiel Vonck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
100:0
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wim Raes (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
Round 5: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
100:0
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
43rd • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Huepper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Leo Dancette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
45th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Doroschewski Christoph (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felix Buchs (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leo Dancette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Markus Tusche (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Doroschewski Christoph (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tijs de Kort (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Beese (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-2
83%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Weirich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Xandor Tollenaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Draw |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephan Waider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephan Waider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominic Rodgers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amber Varwijk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Frijters (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Kuric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Fiumanò (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.