Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
69th • 1-7-0
38%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Godon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eugenio Assenzi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthias Weirich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.