Battle Hardened: Eindhoven - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christian Weißling

1st • 11-0-0

55%

Meta

+5.5

Perf

5.5

Surp

6.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs René Van Hoorn (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Finn Kleine (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jordi De Jonghe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.13
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.16
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.37
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.20
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.25
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.83
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.63
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.02
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.14
R11	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Joris Borkelmans

66th • 2-6-0

38%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthias Weirich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kurt Vooys (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kin Yen Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Antoine Trannoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.15
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Amber Varwijk

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oliver M (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.30
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.75
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.