Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Battle Hardened: Eindhoven
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
61st • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kin Yen Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antoine Trannoy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elista Cyrek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 18:82
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leo Dancette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Win vs René Van Hoorn (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.